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美元走強,金銀回落,投資者謹慎等待美國非農報告

2021-08-31 13:55
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  *美元指數在接近兩周低點后上漲0.1%


  *白銀的技術面仍較為脆弱


  *投資者等待周五的美國非農就業報告


  金價在周一稍早觸及近四周高位后下滑,因美元從低點回升,且投資者們在本周稍晚公布關鍵美國非農就業報告之前持謹慎態度。


  美國東部時間下午1點33分,現貨黃金下跌0.4%,至1,808.67美元/盎司,此前曾觸及8月4日以來的最高水平。美國黃金期貨下跌0.4%,至1,812.2美元。


  美聯儲主席杰羅姆·鮑威爾周五在杰克遜霍爾年會上發表講話后,金價周一開盤上漲。


  鮑威爾表示,美聯儲可能會在今年縮減購債計劃,但對美聯儲開始縮減資產購買計劃的確切時間沒有任何指示,這推高金價。


  然而,隨后金價下跌,因為美元指數試圖反彈,美元指數在鮑威爾發表講話后曾跌至近兩周低點。


  金屬聚焦南亞高級研究顧問Harshal Barot稱:“總體而言,貨幣政策背景仍將保持寬松,存在著圍繞新冠病毒德爾塔變種、中國經濟放緩的擔憂、地緣政治緊張局勢的不確定性?!?/p>


  他表示,所有這些因素都為金價提供了看漲背景。


  Barot補充稱:“鮑威爾明確區分了縮減購債規模和加息。盡管縮減購債規??赡茉诮衲觊_始,但是距離加息還很遙遠?!?/p>


  Kitco Metals高級分析師Jim Wyckoff表示:“市場開始感覺到,今年將出現一定程度的縮減購債規模,但力度可能不會嚇到市場?!?/p>


  然而,Wyckoff表示,在美國非農就業報告于周五公布之前的謹慎可能在本周打壓金價,強勁的非農就業報告可能令美聯儲鷹派官員在主張退出超寬松貨幣政策時擁有更多籌碼。


  較高的利率增加了持有無息黃金的機會成本。


  寶盛下一代研究主管Carsten Menke表示,杰克遜霍爾會議上的言論應該不會對金銀產生“根本性”影響。


  “我們仍然非常相信經濟將持續復蘇,通脹飆升是暫時的,這將導致黃金和白銀價格略微走低?!盡enke稱,并指出,通脹和經濟復蘇是市場的主要推動力。


  投資者的焦點現在轉向將在周五公布的美國8月非農就業數據,該數據可能進一步揭示就業市場的復蘇,并影響美聯儲的縮債策略。


  Kinesis市場分析師Carlo Alberto De Casa稱:“從技術角度看,黃金仍處于有利環境?!?/p>


  “我們也看到白銀出現反彈,但技術面仍更為脆弱,因白銀的表現仍不如黃金?!?/p>


  銀價下跌0.3%,至23.93美元/盎司;鉑價下跌0.3%,至1004.48美元;鈀價上漲2.5%,至2479.50美元。




  PRECIOUS Gold pulls back as dollar strengthens, caution sets in


  Dollar index up 0.1% after hitting near two-week low


  Investors await U.S. payrolls report on Friday


  Aug 30 (Reuters) - Gold prices slipped, after touching a near a four-week high earlier on Monday, as the dollar ticked up from its lows and investors showed caution in the run-up to the release of a key U.S. jobs report later in the week.


  Spot gold fell 0.4% to $1,808.67 per ounce by 1:33 p.m. EDT (1733 GMT) after touching its highest level since Aug. 4. U.S. gold futures settled down 0.4% at $1,812.2.


  Gold initially rose on Monday in the wake of U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's speech to the annual Jackson Hole economic conference on Friday.


  Powell said tapering of the U.S. central bank's bond-buying program could happen this year but gave no indication as to the exact timeline for the Fed to start cutting its asset purchases, sending gold higher.?read more <https://www.reuters.com/business/feds-powell-weighs-delta-risk-gives-no-signal-start-bond-buying-taper-2021-08-27/>


  However, gold then fell as the dollar index, which had slipped to nearly a two-week low in the wake of Powell's speech, attempted a rebound.


  "The marketplace is starting to get a sense that there will be some tapering this year but maybe not with the aggressiveness that would spook the marketplace," said Jim Wyckoff, senior analyst at Kitco Metals.


  Wyckoff, however, said that caution ahead of the scheduled release on Friday of the U.S. nonfarm payrolls report could weigh on gold this week, with a strong number potentially giving hawkish Fed officials more leverage in arguing for a move away from ultra-easy monetary policy.


  Higher interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion.


  Carsten Menke, head of next generation research at Julius Baer, said comments made at the Jackson Hole conference should have no "fundamental" impact on gold and silver.


  "We remain very much convinced about a continued economic recovery and a temporary inflation spike, leading gold and silver prices somewhat lower," Menke said, noting that inflation and the economic recovery were key drivers for the market.


  Silver fell 0.3% to $23.93 per ounce, platinum dropped 0.3% to $1,004.48 and palladium rose 2.5% to $2,479.50.




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